UA 1099 · SJO → IAH

took off · landed 6:32 PM CT (scheduled 1:23 PM CST → 6:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJO

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1099 · SJO → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?