UA 1226 · IAH → BOS

departs 12:27 PM CT · arrives 5:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1226 · IAH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?