UA 1296 · LIH → LAX

departs 1:01 PM HT · arrives 9:40 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1296 · LIH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?