Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1298 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 1298 · SFO → LIH

departs 10:36 AM PT · arrives 1:16 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1298 · SFO → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?