Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1326 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1326 · AUS → IAH

departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

IAH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1326 · AUS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?