UA 133 · MAJ → HNL

took off · landed 1:49 AM HT (scheduled 7:18 PM +12 → 2:04 AM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAJ

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MAJ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

HNL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 133 · MAJ → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?