UA 1360 · IAH → LAS

departs 8:05 PM CT · arrives 9:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1360 · IAH → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?