Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1370 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1370 · TPA → IAD

departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ 6pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.53 in

IAD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1370 · TPA → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?