UA 1381 · IAH → ABQ

departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 9:44 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +45 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1381 · IAH → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?