Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1389 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

UA 1389 · CMH → DEN

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 4:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from CMH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1389 · CMH → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?