Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1464 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1464 · SAV → ORD

departs 1:29 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.35 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1464 · SAV → ORD

Odds over time