Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1510SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1510 · SDF → DEN
departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 4:24 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±5 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.