Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1538SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 1538 · EWR → BZN
departs 9:15 AM ET · arrives 12:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.