UA 153 · HKG → LAX

took off · landed 5:05 PM PT (scheduled 7:27 PM HKT → 4:55 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HKG

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

HKG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 153 · HKG → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?