UA 1550 · DTW → SFO

took off 7:10 AM ET · expected to land 8:50 AM PT (scheduled 6:54 AM ET → 9:02 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1550 · DTW → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?