Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1574 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1574 · DFW → EWR

departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 5:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.25 in

EWR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,583 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1574 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?