UA 1612 · ORD → SAV

took off 11:23 AM CT · expected to land 2:01 PM ET (scheduled 11:10 AM CT → 2:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAV?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1612 · ORD → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?