UA 1633 · DEN → OMA

took off 10:26 AM MT · landed 12:28 PM CT (scheduled 10:07 AM MT → 12:46 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OMA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1633 · DEN → OMA

Odds over time

How late did it get to OMA?