UA 1687 · IAH → IND

took off 12:19 PM CT · expected to land 3:02 PM ET (scheduled 11:55 AM CT → 3:25 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.26 in

IND (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1687 · IAH → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?