Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1688 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:54 AM CT, ETA 11:12 AM CT)

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1688 · ORD → AUS

took off 8:54 AM CT · expected to land 11:12 AM CT (scheduled 9:01 AM CT → 11:59 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1688 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?