UA 169 · VCE → EWR

took off 11:13 AM CEST · landed 2:34 PM ET (scheduled 11:10 AM CEST → 3:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at VCE

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

VCE (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 169 · VCE → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?