Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1733SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1733 · JAX → ORD
departs 7:20 AM ET · arrives 9:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.