UA 1799 · IAH → LAS

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 12:14 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1799 · IAH → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?