Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1800 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 1800 · EWR → LAS

departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1800 · EWR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?