tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1850 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1850 · SFO → ORD

departs 12:50 AM PT · arrives 7:16 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.