UA 1854 · GCM → IAH

departs 1:29 PM EST · arrives 4:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GCM

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GCM (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1854 · GCM → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?