Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1894 SCHEDULED

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 1894 · DEN → MSN

departs 6:00 PM MT · arrives 9:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1894 · DEN → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?