Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1911 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:06 PM ET, ETA 5:00 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1911 · BWI → IAH

took off 3:06 PM ET · expected to land 5:00 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1911 · BWI → IAH

Odds over time