Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1998 LANDED 7:36 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1998 · IAD → EWR

took off 6:56 AM ET · landed 7:36 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from IAD are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.30 in

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1998 · IAD → EWR

Odds over time