Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2019 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:47 PM ET, ETA 2:26 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 2019 · TPA → LAX

took off 12:47 PM ET · expected to land 2:26 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.56 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2019 · TPA → LAX

Odds over time