UA 2052 · MEM → IAH

departs 8:58 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MEM that day

↓ 8am departures from MEM are usually not late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.01 in

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2052 · MEM → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?