UA 2071 · ORD → TVC

departs 9:23 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TVC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TVC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2071 · ORD → TVC

Odds over time

How late will it get to TVC?