UA 2077 · DEN → BFL

departs 7:07 PM MT · arrives 8:32 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BFL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BFL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2077 · DEN → BFL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BFL?