Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2175 LANDED 4:07 PM PT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 2175 · SAN → LAX

took off 3:42 PM PT · landed 4:07 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2175 · SAN → LAX

Odds over time