Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 219 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 219 · ORD → HNL

departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 1:32 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 219 · ORD → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?