Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2202SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 2202 · BZN → ORD
departs 12:48 PM MT · arrives 4:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.