UA 2212 · LAX → BZN

took off 11:59 AM PT · landed 2:59 PM MT (scheduled 12:50 PM PT → 4:24 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BZN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2212 · LAX → BZN

Odds over time

How late did it get to BZN?