UA 2240 · IAH → ATL

departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 9:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2240 · IAH → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?