UA 2307 · DEN → LIH

took off 12:54 PM MT · landed 3:59 PM HT (scheduled 12:00 PM MT → 3:37 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LIH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2307 · DEN → LIH

Odds over time

How late did it get to LIH?