UA 2341 · IAH → SEA

departs 8:07 PM CT · arrives 10:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

SEA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2341 · IAH → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?