Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 234 LANDED 8:06 AM CT, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 234 · DTW → IAH

took off 6:28 AM ET · landed 8:06 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,267 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 234 · DTW → IAH

Odds over time