UA 2371 · IAH → EWR

took off 12:20 PM CT · expected to land 4:11 PM ET (scheduled 12:00 PM CT → 4:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2371 · IAH → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?