UA 2384 · YUL → SFO

departs 6:40 PM EDT · arrives 9:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2384 · YUL → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?