tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2474 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 2474 · IAH → MSY

departs 10:00 PM CT · arrives 11:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.