Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2479 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 2479 · SAT → DEN

departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 6:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.20 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2479 · SAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?