UA 2499 · SAV → ORD

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 4:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.62 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2499 · SAV → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?