UA 258 · GUA → EWR

departs 10:45 PM CST · arrives 5:32 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUA

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

GUA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 258 · GUA → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?