UA 2601 · DEN → RSW

took off 9:54 AM MT · landed 3:08 PM ET (scheduled 9:35 AM MT → 3:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ RSW is prone to delays

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2601 · DEN → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?