UA 2625 · DEN → SAT

took off 10:00 AM MT · landed 12:45 PM CT (scheduled 9:35 AM MT → 12:43 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2625 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?