Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 2650 · EWR → PBI

departs 8:19 PM ET · arrives 11:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PBI?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PBI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2650 · EWR → PBI

Odds over time

How late will it get to PBI?